Smogon Premier League XI - Semifinals

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lighthouses

lighthouses

Inordinary
is a Tiering Contributor
Dragonspiral Tyrants (5) vs (7) Alpha Ruiners

SS OU: TDK vs FLCL
SS OU: CTC vs mncmt
SS OU: Christo vs Empo
SS DOU: marilli vs qsns
SS LC: Luthier vs jake -
SM OU: blunder vs Gondra
ORAS OU: CrashinBoomBang vs xImRaptor
BW OU: John W vs Caetano93
DPP OU: The Grand Babido vs Emeral
ADV OU: Gilbert arenas vs Alexander.
GSC OU: gorgie vs FriendOfMrGolem120
RBY OU: Heroic Troller vs Hyogafodex

Cryonicles (6) vs (6) Congregation of the Classiest

SS OU: Sacri' vs suapah
SS OU: obii vs blarghlfarghl
SS OU: Updated Kanto vs Insult
SS DOU: Tman vs stax
SS LC: ggggd vs Serene Grace
SM OU: Eo Ut Mortus vs Relous
ORAS OU: Garay oak vs Persephone
BW OU: Finchinator vs Raiza
DPP OU: soulgazer vs Excal
ADV OU: z0mOG vs Tamahome
GSC OU: Mr.E vs KratosMana
RBY OU: HML am vs Amaranth

Please do let the brazilians win though, we dont have much to be happy about these days
 
sexy_ampharos

sexy_ampharos

Big edit: Only got 36/58 (2 dead games) which is pretty shit but still ahead of the ape :D


On to semifinals i say!

4 - 1 - 3 / TDK (SOS = 51.952 [40]; PER = 0.445 [62]) vs. 6 - 0 - 3 / FLCL (SOS = 49.89 [68]; PER = 1.016 [25])
Statistical Advantage: FLCL 69%
2 - 0 - 3 / CTC (SOS = 47.856 [93]; PER = -0.091 [92]) vs. 0 - 0 - 1 / mncmt (< 4 games, no stats)
Statistical Advantage: CTC 77.5%
7 - 0 - 2 / Christo (SOS = 42.783 [128]; PER = 1.017 [24]) vs. 5 - 0 - 4 / Empo (SOS = 54.823 [13]; PER = 0.796 [42])
Statistical Advantage: Christo 59%
5 - 0 - 4 / marilli (SOS = 48.305 [86]; PER = 0.512 [58]) vs. 5 - 0 - 4 / qsns (SOS = 48.305 [86]; PER = 0.512 [58])
Statistical Advantage: qsns 50.5%
7 - 0 - 2 / Luthier (SOS = 48.183 [90]; PER = 1.347 [9]) vs. 6 - 0 - 3 / jake (SOS = 49.889 [69]; PER = 1.016 [25])
Statistical Advantage: Luthier 59%
3 - 1 - 5 / blunder (SOS = 55.395 [11]; PER = -0.144 [95]) vs. 8 - 0 - 1 / Gondra (SOS = 42.853 [127]; PER = 1.395 [8])
Statistical Advantage: Gondra 90%
5 - 0 - 4 / CrashinBoomBang (SOS = 50.792 [60]; PER = 0.621 [51]) vs. 6 - 0 - 3 / xImRaptor (SOS = 47.445 [98]; PER = 0.888 [36])
Statistical Advantage: xImRaptor 57.5%
5 - 0 - 4 / John W (SOS = 51.124 [53]; PER = 0.635 [50]) vs. 4 - 0 - 4 / Caetano93 (SOS = 51.322 [51]; PER = 0.42 [65])
Statistical Advantage: John W 57.5%
7 - 0 - 2 / The Grand Babido (SOS = 47.581 [97]; PER = 1.31 [11]) vs. 1 - 0 - 3 / Emeral (SOS = 42.448 [129]; PER = -0.76 [120])
Statistical Advantage: The Grand Babido 90%
6 - 0 - 3 / Gilbert arenas (SOS = 48.107 [91]; PER = 0.923 [33]) vs. 6 - 0 - 3 / Alexander. (SOS = 45.295 [118]; PER = 0.776 [46])
Statistical Advantage: Gilbert arenas 56.5%
6 - 0 - 3 / gorgie (SOS = 45.568 [115]; PER = 0.79 [43]) vs. 6 - 0 - 3 / FriendOfMrGolem120 (SOS = 45.93 [112]; PER = 0.809 [40])
Statistical Advantage: FriendOfMrGolem120 51.5%
6 - 0 - 3 / Heroic Troller (SOS = 51.553 [48]; PER = 1.103 [19]) vs. 1 - 0 - 5 / Hyogafodex (SOS = 56.521 [6]; PER = -0.853 [124])
Statistical Advantage: Heroic Troller 90%

6 - 0 - 3 / Sacri' (SOS = 48.615 [82]; PER = 0.949 [30]) vs. 7 - 0 - 2 / suapah (SOS = 53.429 [27]; PER = 1.667 [6])
Statistical Advantage: suapah 62.5%
0 - 0 - 0 / obii (< 4 games, no stats) vs. 5 - 0 - 3 / blarghlfarghl (SOS = 40.806 [131]; PER = 0.408 [68])
Statistical Advantage: blarghlfarghl 56.7%
4 - 0 - 5 / Updated Kanto (SOS = 48.615 [82]; PER = 0.102 [85]) vs. 6 - 0 - 3 / Insult (SOS = 35.514 [134]; PER = 0.264 [73])
Statistical Advantage: Insult 56.5%
4 - 0 - 5 / Tman (SOS = 51.734 [42]; PER = 0.211 [76]) vs. 7 - 0 - 2 / stax (SOS = 44.208 [124]; PER = 1.104 [18])
Statistical Advantage: stax 79.5%
9 - 0 - 0 / ggggd (SOS = 47.152 [102]; PER = 2.105 [1]) vs. 5 - 0 - 4 / Serene Grace (SOS = 51.652 [46]; PER = 0.658 [49])
Statistical Advantage: ggggd 74.5%
5 - 0 - 4 / Eo Ut Mortus (SOS = 46.568 [109]; PER = 0.437 [64]) vs. 0 - 0 - 7 / Relous (SOS = 59.008 [4]; PER = -1.592 [133])
Statistical Advantage: Eo Ut Mortus 90%
4 - 0 - 5 / Garay oak (SOS = 53.189 [29]; PER = 0.262 [74]) vs. 3 - 0 - 4 / Persephone (SOS = 52.422 [35]; PER = 0.17 [77])
Statistical Advantage: Garay oak 52%
6 - 0 - 3 / Finchinator (SOS = 48.56 [84]; PER = 0.946 [31]) vs. 2 - 0 - 7 / Raiza (SOS = 54.566 [17]; PER = -0.641 [117])
Statistical Advantage: Finchinator 90%
3 - 0 - 3 / soulgazer (SOS = 53.937 [24]; PER = 0.523 [57]) vs. 4 - 0 - 1 / Excal (SOS = 46.698 [108]; PER = 1.337 [10])
Statistical Advantage: Excal 74%
7 - 0 - 2 / z0mOG (SOS = 40.862 [130]; PER = 0.9 [35]) vs. 6 - 0 - 3 / Tamahome (SOS = 45.426 [117]; PER = 0.783 [44])
Statistical Advantage: z0mOG 54.5%
3 - 0 - 6 / Mr.E (SOS = 47.112 [103]; PER = -0.361 [106]) vs. 7 - 0 - 2 / KratosMana (SOS = 50.362 [63]; PER = 1.479 [7])
Statistical Advantage: KratosMana 90%
4 - 0 - 5 / HML am (SOS = 53.778 [25]; PER = 0.282 [71]) vs. 5 - 0 - 4 / Amaranth (SOS = 50.474 [62]; PER = 0.607 [53])
Statistical Advantage: Amaranth 59%

Very slight advantages on most cases this time... i expect a worse record for my predictions this time around!

Note: Interesting case is Gondra vs Blunder where obviously Gondra has not a real 90% advantage with common sense, yet the numbers highly favour him! Here is see the possible problem that SOS is underrepresented in my formula, because Gondra had the 9th easiest schedule, whereas Blunder had the 11th hardest schedule... another problem is also here: SOS comes from sports that have win or lose as result. With blunder officially receiving a tie (acc to spreadsheet) his own win% drops altough he didn't play the last game... but we'll see...

P.S.: I highlighted the most narrow matches for this week where nobody has an advantage in the 60s percentage wise and both players played enough games....
 
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teal6

teal6

is a Tournament Directoris a Forum Moderatoris a Senior Staff Member Alumnusis a Community Contributor Alumnusis a Tiering Contributor Alumnusis a Two-Time Past SCL Championis a Past WCoP Champion
Moderator
missed POs once more :( but i do want to give a shoutout to the huge, huge amount of people that helped an otherwise limited player like me get up to a passable level in a new CG OU, i'm really happy to be involved with the big guns in that sense

special mention to M Dragon and Analytic , two outrageously good managers. you both complement one another really well, motivating me and telling me when i had good or bad ideas. i really wanted to perform for sharks and i hope you two manage again next year
 
frisoeva

frisoeva

LETS FUCKING NOOOOOOOOOOOO
rooting for the tyrants, hope you guys can get the red this time, its been very impressive how dominant that team has been past year and this year.

It makes me sad we couldn't make poffs, especially after the incredible results we had w1 and w2. However, I did have a blast and it was super fun to be able to play in such a high level team tournament with the decisively best ss ou core. Personally im not too happy with my record seeing as i think it couldve been 6-3/7-2 had i not choked 1-2 games. need to work a bit on my nerves in decisive matches. I wanna thank M Dragon for being the amazing manager he is and Analytic for being inspired to pick me up.
 
Heroic Troller

Heroic Troller

Through the Sea of Time
is a Tiering Contributoris a Tournament Director Alumnusis a Forum Moderator Alumnusis a defending SPL Champion
World Defender
Won in two good games, g1 was really fucked but gg to my opponent, he put up a fight especially for a non mainer
I only played two spls as main, but i still feel incredibly bitter sweet for what's about to come. Do it Tyrants, gift me my happy ever after
The secret of success? PMD soundtracks.
 
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