ok now the rounds actually matter. I didn't bother making predicts in the first round because there were a bunch of players i don't know involved
Megazard (49) vs Hamhamhamham (51)
will be fun to watch. No doubt that mz has ag in the bag 90/10. i originally gave zu to mz as well, but then i realized ham played in the actual smog world cup, so i should give him more credit for being a good standards player. still think zu is tilted in mz's favor 60/40. bh and mnm is where it starts to lean ham's way. no secret that mz isn't a fan of playing this great tier, so i'm giving it to hamham 85/15. mz is probably a better contender in mnm, but i still believe ham wins that one so i'll give it 70/30 to ham. 50/50 in aaa since they're both some of the top players in that format
Andyboy (30) vs Funbot28 (70)
more lopsided than the previous game. i've seen andy play ag and zu like once, so giving both of those 90/10 to funbot. giving bh 70/30 to funbot as well because andy could just bring some dumb cheese team and catch funbot on a misplay, but i still believe in fb to win the match. i think aaa is gonna be a good game to watch but funbot is just the better player, so i'll give it to her 65/35. mnm is more tilted in andy's favor, but i don't think it'll be a completely one sided game. 65/35 there for andy
Fardin (43) vs Pigeons (57)
think this'll be a meh series with a couple boring and slow games in the mix. i don't really know how good fardin is at ag but i know that his name used to be fardinag, so i'll give him a good chance of winning the ag game. 55/45 tilted in pigeons favor. think fardin has a better chance of winning zu. pigeons put up a pretty good fight vs fruitshop last week though, so i'm not counting him out completely. 65/35 fardin on this one. on to aaa, fardin didn't look too hot in his aaa game last week and pigeons will just stall him, so giving this to pigeons 70/30. gen 7 bh is a god awful format and i'm expecting that both of these users bring some semi stall bulky team, so this bh game will probably be the lowlight of the entire tour and i am fully confident it will either get replayed because of an imposter / regenerator stalemate (to which pigeons will just bring the same team to the 2nd game) or someone runs out of pp. 55/45 pigeons. pretty confident that pigeons will just stall in mnm too, so that's gonna be another terrible game to watch. 70/30 to pigeons in mnm.
in my heart i'm giving this series to fardin because i really hate stall
edit: it has come to my attention that fardin also plays stall. i hope both of these players have to suffer through 5 awful 200 turn games (plus stalemates) and neither of them have a fulfilling om championship experience.
edit2: it has come to my attention that pigeons thinks the first 200 turns of any stall game are just "foreplay", but the real fun comes around 300 turns. i just really hope neither of these players enjoy their games and turn away from stall completely
xavgb (55) vs jrdn (45)
this should be the finals mu but whatever. 65/35 to stresh in ag just because i don't really think jrdn plays ag (and i mean neither does stresh i don't think but i still think he comes out on top). giving zu to jrdn 65/35 because of pretty much the same reason, but i think jrdn's
pokemon fundamentals are a bit stronger and will shine through here. stresh should win bh, but jrdn might get a good mu so giving it to stresh 75/25. aaa is probably jrdn's best tier (and jrdn is probably one of aaa's best players), so i think he'll do pretty well vs stresh here. 80/20 in jrdn's favor. i think mnm is another format tilted in stresh's favor, so i'll give that to him 80/20 for the same reason i gave aaa to jrdn.
end of year shoutouts because i might as well lump it into 1 post
anyway this has been a pretty fun year of oms. i came back last december, managed 3 super cool teams (shoutout digs, mags, and ne) and someone thought it would be a good idea to give me moderator in the om room. wild. thanks to everyone i played with / against, and i'm looking forward to another pretty cool year of pokemon. i don't really like gens 7 or 8 at the moment, but i'm going to try to expand my knowledge of old gen other metas, so send me a message if you ever want to play / develop old gen oms with me. also shoutout to oldshark, come fight me in oras ph it's the best format of all time
shoutout to
GL Volkner for quitting and then instantly coming back to play in another tour and making like 50 more posts. i wish i could be as motivated as you