Tournament AGPL III - Week 4

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AGPL 3 Sheet
Replays Thread
Commencement
Basic Rules to Follow​
  • Remember that you must follow all rules found here.
  • You must schedule using Smogon VMs, as it is the easiest way for me to determine scheduling and activity for activity calls. If you are not able to schedule with your opponent, please let your managers know ASAP so that they communicate that to me or the other manager for potential substitutes.
  • Substitutions may be made after a week has started. When making a substitution, please tag me, the opposing team manager, and all players involved to make sure that everyone is aware. Players that have already played in a given week, or were already subbed out, cannot be subbed in the same week.
  • Any incomplete matches at the end of the week will be subject to an activity decision.
  • Replays MUST BE posted here so that we can keep track of usage stats (and all get to watch some awesome AG games of course!)
  • Managers: Please send your lineups in the order that has been posted below in the following weeks as it will just make it easier for me going forward.

:crobat: Crooked Crobats (2) vs Lottery Laprases (6) :lapras:

SS: Royal1604 vs Trade
SS: Fc vs Rotten
SS: Frito135 vs FatFighter2
ND: Ainzcrad vs Staxi
SM: SiTuM vs Skarph
SM: GRNBLN vs 64 Squares
ORAS: mc56556 Maxomega vs keys
BO3: PurpleGatorade vs Icemaster

:lycanroc: Limitless Lycanrocs (6) vs The Likable Luvdiscs (2) :luvdisc:

SS: pdt vs LiderMeliodas
SS: jerryl309 vs Ballfire
SS: lotiasite vs TrueNora
ND: Kate vs Nevelle
SM: velvet vs MZ
SM: Satanic Beast Unicorns vs temp
ORAS: chlo <3 vs Highlord
BO3: WSun1 vs pichus

:vivillon: Vicious Vivillon (3) vs The Salt Mining Sableyes (5) :sableye-mega:

SS: Tack Shivam3299 vs Indercover TJ
SS: Monsareeasy vs pannuracotta
SS: lepton vs Tic-Tac-Toe Guru
ND: Yami MAMP vs Fardin
SM: Andyboy vs Alpha Rabbit
SM: Jrdn vs default0
ORAS: Quantum Tesseract vs Basedburner
BO3: baconeatinassassin vs BasedWhat?

The deadline is Sunday 25th 11.59 GMT -4
 
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Icemaster

Few will truly understand.
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:lycanroc: Limitless Lycanrocs (4) vs The Likable Luvdiscs (4):luvdisc:

SS: pdt vs LiderMeliodas 60-40 Lider is a lot better than he's given credit for, so I don't think this is as clear cut as it seems. Galar is pretty matchup oriented too so predicting anything higher than 60% to one side isn't very accurate imo.
SS: jerryl309 vs Ballfire 45-55 Jerryl has more AG knowledge but ballfire is more skilled overall, and I think that's more important.
SS: lotiasite vs TrueNora 45-55 same as above.
ND: Kate vs Nevelle 45-55 I like Nevelles builds more and I rate them similarly as players.
SM: velvet vs MZ 40-60 MZ is very consistently good.
SM: Satanic Beast vs temp 55-45 Temp is underrated as a player in this tournament as most people don't know him, but edgar's much more significant AG experience is enough to give him an advantage here.
ORAS: chlo <3 vs Highlord 60-40 Highlord is better than his record this tournament implies so I'm not predicting heavily against him. Chloe is the best ORAS player in the slot though.
BO3: WSun1 vs pichus 55-45 Wsun is favoured in galar. They're both quite even in usum, and in oras they'll both have good team support on both sides assuming Zayele isn't busy.

:vivillon: Vicious Vivillon (5) vs The Salt Mining Sableyes (3) :sableye-mega:

SS: Shivam3299 vs Indercover 45-55 Same reason as Loti vs Nora.
SS: Monsareeasy vs pannuracotta 60-40 Mons has more ag knowledge and I believe he's the better player too,
SS: lepton vs Tic-Tac-Toe Guru 45-55 Lepton is good but TTTG publicly humiliated me
ND: Yami vs Fardin 35-65 I PRAY Fardin gets 6-0ed but it is unlikely that will happen.
SM: Andyboy vs Alpha Rabbit 60-40 think he's more skilled
SM: Jrdn vs default0 55-45 surprised to see default outside of his best tier, jrdn has the advantage over him in USUM.
ORAS: Quantum Tesseract vs Basedburner 60-40 I have not seen burner play ORAS. He's a decent player, and it's ORAS so he has a good chance though, but QT just has a lot more time in the format.
BO3: baconeatinassassin vs BasedWhat? 65-35 I rarely predict anymore than 60-40 but in bo3 bacon has less chance to get pokemoned, and he's favoured in all of the tiers. BasedWhat is still a good player so bacon won't be taking these games for free or anything.

Interesting to predict this week as the top 2 teams, mid 2 teams and bottom 2 teams were matched up; all series will be close. Lgi Laprases.
 

lotiasite

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useless will did predicts when i was ASLEEP even though i said to wait for me ...

:crobat: Crooked Crobats vs Lottery Laprases :lapras: (3-4)

SS: Royal1604 vs Trade - trade is super fire and i'll never predict against them again. if i predict against trade they might actually hunt me down in real life at the pokemon society event and that threat would haunt me for a long time
SS: Fc vs Rotten - fc has invoked the 'blessing of life orb zygarde', which grants the user free victories once activated
SS: Frito135 vs FatFighter2 - my prediction about ff2 came true last week when he sought lo zyg revenge to dispatch lepton. they both said gg early in a weird game considering ff2 almost lost, but this should be a good game. i think frito wants to prove himself, and this is a good opportunity to do so.
ND: Ainzcrad vs Staxi - staxi is 3-0 and has done really well so far but i dont really have a reason to predict ainz here besides that we're friends
SM: SiTuM vs Skarph - nice matchup. don't think anyone is close to skarph in this pool tho and he's proved it so far after winning with .. scarf ndw
SM: GRNBLN vs 64 Squares - grn has really shown up this agpl so put up a great record so far and ive enjoyed the teams he's brought so far. squares has a lot of individual tour results but seems to struggle a bit more in team tours, tho i don't really have any doubts about his playing ability. should be a fun match.
ORAS: mc56556 vs keys - key's skilful activity win last week should prove too much for mc, whose computer prevented a rightful 3-0
BO3: PurpleGatorade vs Icemaster - kind of surprised people are predicting pg here but i can see why. i think all 3 tiers are actually quite even between these two, though i would probably favour ice's skill overall. i would probably favour ice's team support as well, tho pg has done really well piloting the teams he's been passed for a fantastic 3-0 start.

pretty important week for these two teams, since both have a really good shot at taking #1 seed and straight finals. good luck to both, lotta good matches here

:vivillon: Vicious Vivillon vs The Salt Mining Sableyes :sableye-mega: (4-4)

SS: Shivam3299 vs Indercover - surprisingly contentious matchup but shivam has shown in the past that he can level up for tour games and should have a good shot here. inder got oml farmed by band yve last week but i still think he's a decent player overall who probably just needs more galar experience. because of that, i think shivam + bacon support should be enough here
SS: Monsareeasy vs pannuracotta - mons hasn't had the best campaign so far, arguably choking all 3 games he's played so far. i think he has a high ceiling but his performances are kind of volatile and hard to predict. this is pannu's debut, but since sabs are already out im not sure how much he's going to put into this game. should be a fun game regardless
SS: lepton vs Tic-Tac-Toe Guru - lepton actually had a decent debut performance last week vs ff2 but ultimately came short. tttg has more experience in galar, but i think this is closer than it might look
ND: Yami vs Fardin - yami is yami, i hate fardin, xatu/drapion/umbreon/tapu bulu. pick ur poison, you're still losing
SM: Andyboy vs Alpha Rabbit - two of the best overall players in the tour probably, but while i reckon rabbit has better support, andy is too powerful
SM: Jrdn vs default0 - jrdn said 'reversal chicken ho' and nothing else in the chat. said chicken killed a unecro and a fairyceus.
ORAS: Quantum Tesseract vs Basedburner - basedburner wins this if there are 3 darkrais or more. bonus points if there are at least 6 darkrais in the game overall.
BO3: baconeatinassassin vs BasedWhat? - bacon is going to get absolutely FARMED and i can't wait to see it.

this is gonna be fun since both teams are already out, so i'm looking forward to seeing the heat. if less than 7 zu mons show up we're cancelling agpl (again)
 
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Skooma

Banned deucer.
I was forced to do this. Only gonna do Oras cause it's the best Gen ever. Only my opinion pls don't hate.

ORAS: mc56556 vs keys 10-90 - keys is a much much much much much much MUCH better player here overall and also builds some really consistent teams, but Oras can be a messy tier sometimes so the better player never always wins in ag so Mc got a chance but yh

ORAS: chlo <3 vs Highlord 60-40 - both players are super solid but Chloe has just been on a streak. I think she will take the win away from highlord
 
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