Recent content by RaikouLover

National results do determine the presidency, as the demographics and states are all correlated. If the Latino vote really goes 50-50, Biden will get stomped in Arizona and Nevada. If the black vote is 75-25 such as in recent polls, you will see Fox News Polls showing Virginia (large black...

Why would you not rule it out? The polls are painting an exact contradiction to voting history. These are casted ballots, not a handful of people telling a poll what they will do. Polls are also notoriously bad at getting responses from the black and Latinx communities. I actually...

Narrative that is actual voting results? Republicans have not gotten more than 13% of the black vote in over 30 years. Latinx went 63-35 Biden in 2020 and 65-29 Clinton in 2016. When the polls flubbed 2022 the black vote was 86-13 Dems and Latinx was 60-39 Dems. In 2018 it was 90-9 Dems and...

Yes. Also, polling has been suspect. Crosstabs this cycle have been suggesting the Latino vote is tied and that convicted felon Trump will pull 25% of the black vote. Vote Latino just release a poll that had Biden +20 among Latinx voters (2020 result Biden +28). Republicans have gotten no more...

Hillary Clinton ran on a policy-focused platform just as many in here are suggesting is the best way to defeat convicted felon Trump. She did not ruthlessly attack his character. I posted in previous iterations of this thread that there was post-election analysis that in 2016, voters perceived...

I predict Boston in 7. I like and respect what the Mavs has done. I just trust the math. Boston is great on both ends of the floors and they shoot the shit out of the ball.

Who is dying on a hill? Biden has been bad on this issue, no question. Still doesn’t change the fact that it will be either convicted felon Trump or Joe Biden to determine US foreign policy with respect to Gaza come November. If the choices for President were George Bush and David Duke, as a...

Laugh because I do not think a productive, honest conversation can be had when the premise is that convicted felon Trump and Biden are the same or “equally bad” Israel-Gaza foreign policy.

There will be no goals of ceasefire or two-state solution if convicted felon Trump returns to the White House. Israel will be able to do whatever it wants in Gaza. How is that not worse?

In the Trump era, the Democrats unifying message is democracy. Being an heterogeneous tent party is exactly why policy appeals less effective. Hillary Clinton had a focused group-based policy for everything. It didn’t inspire anyone. The relevant example is the Gaza conflict. There are...

Making Trump an unacceptable option due to his criminal activity and contempt for democracy is certainly a winning strategy. Republicans have been campaigning on a policy devoid platform of “Democrats are bad” for decades now because it works. No one has required the GOP to create a policy...

Trump won for the same reason he just got convicted of 34 felonies. Let’s not mystify his popularity. Trump is a terrible politician. He has never gotten more than 47% of the vote. Since stealing the 2016 election, he’s cost the Republicans in every major election and has all but destroyed...

That is not true. Being an asshole dirtbag of a politician does in fact hurt politically. It is bad politics. Yes, this phenomenon is asymmetrical. You don’t get extra credit for being a “good person” in politics. However, you will certainly lose elections for being a piece of shit. Whack...

Naive enough to vote based on morality? What is morally correct is politically correct. There seems to be some “hot take” culture that has people actually thinking being a piece of shit convicted criminal is a political boon. Newsflash: it is not. People do not like criminals. If you remember...

This 100%. Also, modern political analysts have found the “swing voters” are not people who oscillating between voting for Democrats and Republicans. “Independent” voters almost always vote for the same party. They are people deciding whether to vote or not, not which of the two major...